Posted by Russell Daniels on July 01, 2021 at 2:27 PM
Study Confirms Big 2020 Takeaways: Biden’s Gains With Suburban Voters, Independents, Won Him Election
President Joe Biden rode to victory in 2020 by making large inroads with suburban voters and independents while retaining the coalition 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton formed in 2016, a sweeping new study from Pew Research Center found, confirming what many political analysts had already concluded.
- Biden won 54% of suburban voters, a 9-point increase from Clinton’s performance in 2016 (45%), the study—based on a survey of 11,818 people conducted November 12 to November 17—found.
- While Trump won white suburban voters by 16 points in 2016, he edged out Biden by just 4 points with the same group in 2020 (51% to 47%).
- Independent voters swung to Biden by a 9-point margin (52% to 43%) in 2020, a major shift from 2016 when Trump won the bloc by one point over Clinton (43% to 42%).
- Trump made gains with women and Hispanic voters even as he lost both groups to Biden, winning 44% of women in 2020, compared to 39% in 2016, and 38% of Hispanic voters, a 10-point increase from four years prior (28%).
Biden made inroads with non-college-educated white voters, winning 33% of the group, a 5-point increase from Clinton’s share in 2016 (28%).
Trump won men by just 2 points (50% to 48%), while Biden beat Trump by 11 points among women (55%-44%).
Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation accounted for less than half of the electorate (44%) in 2020 for the first time in decades, according to Pew. In both 2016 and 2018, the two generations made up 52% of the electorate.
Both Trump and Biden held on to the coalitions that their parties capitalized on in 2016 and 2018. Like Clinton, Biden earned widespread support with Black, Asian and Hispanic voters, while Trump kept his large advantage with white men. Both candidates also shored up support with their own party’s voters, as fewer Americans pulled the lever for third-party candidates. Biden earned 94% of Democratic voters, while Trump pulled in 92% of Republicans. In 2016, 6% of Americans cast their vote for a third-party candidate, while just 2% did the same in 2020.
46%. That’s the percentage of voters who said they voted by mail, as the pandemic led Americans to avoid in-person polling centers. Around four in ten said it was their first time voting that way.